Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid Stats: H2H & Predictions

Real Madrid against Deportivo Alavés looks like a routine fixture on paper — but the numbers tell a story even the casual fan might not expect. Across nearly two decades of La Liga clashes, Los Blancos have turned this matchup into one of the most one-sided in Spanish football. The next encounter is set for April 21, 2026, and with Real sitting second in the table while Alavés battles to escape the bottom half, form and history collide head-on.

Head-to-Head Matches: 17 · Real Madrid Wins: 15 · Deportivo Alavés Wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Real Madrid Rank: 2nd · Deportivo Alavés Rank: 17th

Across 17 head-to-head encounters, one pattern dominates: Real Madrid consistently find the net while Alavés struggle to keep pace.

Is Ancelotti suspended against Alaves?

Carlo Ancelotti faced disciplinary action after accumulating yellow cards during recent fixtures. The Italian coach received a caution in a match that sparked immediate controversy from the Madrid hierarchy, leading to formal complaints about the refereeing decision. The suspension implications affect his availability for the touchline during the Alavés encounter, with Real Madrid forced to adjust their technical area arrangements accordingly. Reports from sports analysis platforms noted the incident added another layer of tension to an already heated period for the club’s management team.

Beyond the managerial situation, Real Madrid has navigated similar disciplinary challenges throughout the season. The club’s response strategy typically involves delegation to assistant coaches while maintaining strategic input through communication devices. This approach has proven effective in previous matches where Ancelotti was unavailable, though the Alavés fixture presents unique considerations given the opponent’s desperate need for points.

Is Deportivo Alaves a good team?

Current La Liga standing

Deportivo Alavés currently occupies 17th position in the La Liga table — dangerously close to the relegation zone with just 7 wins from 28 matches. Their record of 7 victories, 7 draws, and 14 defeats paints the picture of a side fighting for survival rather than contending for European places. The Basque club has managed only 2 away wins all season, reflecting their struggles on the road against stronger opposition.

The gap between Alavés and safety is significant but not insurmountable. With several matches remaining, including fixtures against direct competitors, the mathematics still favor a recovery. However, their defensive record — conceding frequently against top-half teams — suggests the underlying issues run deeper than mere points accumulation.

Recent performance

Recent form tells a troubling story: Alavés failed to win any of their last five La Liga matches, a run that has seen them slip toward the bottom three. Their attacking output averages just 0.87 goals per game in recent fixtures, well below what survival requires. The team has shown flashes of competitiveness in home games but consistently falls short when facing established Champions League contenders.

Real Madrid’s overwhelming H2H dominance against Alavés compounds the difficulty. In their most recent encounters, Alavés managed to score in only a handful of games, with Real keeping clean sheets in two of the last five meetings. The statistical gap between these two sides in direct competition far exceeds what the current league table alone would suggest.

What are the head-to-head stats for Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid?

Overall record

Real Madrid’s head-to-head record against Deportivo Alavés stands as one of the most lopsided in contemporary La Liga. Across 17 documented encounters, Los Blancos have claimed 15 victories while Alavés managed only 2 wins — with zero draws separating the teams. The goal difference tells an equally stark story: Real Madrid scored 44 goals while Alavés managed just 11 across the same span.

The dominance extends beyond mere victories. Real Madrid averages 2.63 goals per H2H match against Alavés, a conversion rate that speaks to systematic superiority rather than random variance. When these teams meet, the outcome has rarely been in doubt regardless of form or context.

Analysis from sports data platforms confirms this pattern: Real Madrid won 13 of their last 15 H2H meetings with Alavés, scoring 38 goals in those games alone. The sequence of dominance stretches back to 2005, with Los Blancos winning 17 of 19 total encounters recorded since then. Only twice in nearly two decades has Alavés managed to upset the giants from the capital.

Recent meetings

The most recent fixtures continue the established narrative. Real Madrid won their last eight consecutive La Liga games against Alavés, with the streak showing no signs of weakening. One memorable encounter featured a 5-0 demolition, a result that remains embedded in the collective memory of supporters from both clubs.

Alavés failed to score in three of their last five H2H encounters against Real Madrid, highlighting the defensive challenges they face whenever this fixture arises. Their inability to penetrate Madrid’s defense — even when Real produces inconsistent performances in other league matches — suggests tactical or psychological barriers beyond mere quality differences.

Current season data shows these teams have met once already, with that result adding another data point to the overwhelming historical trend. The single H2H match this season contributed to the overall record without altering the fundamental dynamic between the clubs.

Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction

Form analysis

Real Madrid enters this fixture in considerably stronger shape than their opponents. The capital club has accumulated 21 wins from 28 La Liga matches this season, placing them second in the standings behind Barcelona. Their home record proves particularly formidable: 12 victories from 14 home games demonstrates the advantage the Bernabéu provides against visiting teams.

Forebet’s prediction models suggest Real Madrid has a strong chance of scoring in the upcoming match, reflecting both their historical dominance and current form. The team’s attacking efficiency — converting chances at a high rate while maintaining defensive stability — creates a favorable outlook regardless of Alavés’ tactical approach.

Alavés’ away record offers little encouragement for visitors: just 2 wins from 14 road trips this season. Their struggles away from home combine with poor recent form, creating a scenario where even motivated performance may not generate positive results against a well-rested Madrid side.

Key factors

Several factors could influence the match outcome beyond raw form. Real Madrid’s squad rotation decisions ahead of European commitments might alter the starting XI, potentially creating opportunities for Alavés if key players are rested. The importance of the fixture in the title race also matters: Madrid may approach the match with heightened focus if Barcelona maintains pressure at the top of the table.

Alavés’ desperation for points introduces motivation that sometimes transcends statistical prediction. Teams fighting relegation often produce unexpected performances, particularly in home fixtures where crowd support provides additional energy. Whether Alavés can convert that energy into goals and points against a side that has dominated them remains the central question.

The weather, pitch conditions, and refereeing decisions all introduce variables that prediction models cannot fully capture. However, the historical and current data overwhelmingly favor Real Madrid, making an upset result statistically unlikely unless extraordinary circumstances align.

Real Madrid vs Alaves results

Past results

Documented results between these clubs reveal consistent patterns spanning nearly two decades. Real Madrid’s 44 goals across 17 recorded encounters contrasts sharply with Alavés’ 11 goals in the same fixtures. Each season, the fixtures between these teams produce similar outcomes regardless of broader league context.

The historical record includes several emphatic victories for Los Blancos. The 5-0 result mentioned in match previews represents not an anomaly but rather the extreme end of a consistent distribution favoring Madrid by large margins. Similar scorelines appear periodically, reinforcing the fundamental quality gap between the clubs. For a deeper dive into upcoming clashes, explore найкращі майбутні матчі суперництва.

Alavés’ two recorded H2H victories occurred at different periods, suggesting their rare successes derive from specific circumstances rather than sustained competitiveness. These wins — against a Madrid side perhaps distracted by other competitions or affected by key absences — represent notable exceptions that confirm the general rule.

Notable matches

Among the documented fixtures, certain encounters stand out for their significance. The 5-0 Bernabéu demolition remains the most discussed result, illustrating what happens when Madrid’s attack functions optimally against a disorganized defense. Other matches featured narrower margins but still resulted in Madrid victories.

The most recent fixture on December 14, 2025, provided additional data confirming the established pattern. Real Madrid’s win extended their unbeaten run in this fixture while maintaining their position in the title race. The match showcased individual brilliance from Madrid’s attacking players while highlighting Alavés’ difficulties creating meaningful chances.

For supporters tracking this fixture, the historical record suggests expecting a Madrid victory with multiple goals scored. The probability distribution heavily favors outcomes between 2-0 and 4-1, with results outside that range representing outliers rather than likely scenarios.

The implication: Real Madrid’s consistent performance against Alavés underscores a broader pattern of their league dominance, making the upcoming fixture a high-probability scenario for the capital side.

Three key metrics define the contrast between these clubs: Real Madrid averages 2.63 goals per encounter while Alavés manages just 0.58; Madrid won 12 of 14 home games this season versus Alavés’ 2 of 14 away; the goal difference across documented H2H matches totals +33 in Madrid’s favor.

“Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés’s head to head record shows that in the previous 17 meetings, Real Madrid has won 15 times, Deportivo Alavés has won 2 times, and 0 ended in a draw.”

— FootyStats (Sports Data Platform)

“Madrid have won 13 of last 15 vs Alavés and scored 38 goals in those games.”

— Squawka (Sports Analysis Site)

“Real Madrid have succeeded in winning their last 8 games against Deportivo Alavés in La Liga.”

— Forebet (Prediction Platform)

Real Madrid’s dominance over Alavés isn’t merely historical — it’s statistical reality baked into nearly two decades of results. For La Liga title hopefuls, the April 21 fixture represents three points almost certainly heading to the capital. For Alavés, survival calculus continues regardless of this fixture’s outcome; the Basque club must maximize points against direct competitors rather than expect miracles against giants like Madrid. The data leaves little room for interpretation: this matchup serves as a benchmark for the gap between Spain’s elite and its relegation-threatened clubs.